Post by [Account Deleted] on Apr 27, 2017 11:06:02 GMT -6
Welcome back to the Draft Big Board. This year I've made a few changes to The FormulaTM, which I will highlight below before I reveal the early results for the upcoming 3048 Draft Class.
As you know from last year's edition, the Big Board assigns attribute values to player grades, height, age, and potential and then uses a weighted average to score the prospects on a scale of 1-100. Here is the new weighted average that The FormulaTM will be using to evaluate this year's draft class:
Pos Height Age Pot Inside Outside Handle Def Reb Total
PG 0.025 0.025 0.7 0.35 0.4 0.225 0.325 0.1 2.15
SG 0.025 0.025 0.7 0.45 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 2
SF 0.025 0.025 0.7 0.45 0.3 0 0.3 0.2 2
PF 0.025 0.025 0.5 0.1 0.1 0 0.6 0.55 1.9
C 0.025 0.025 0.5 0.1 0.1 0 0.6 0.55 1.9
We've also made a few changes to the way the attributes are calculated. Last year, we used the low end of each grade to calculate the numeric value of each grade in the player profile. This season, we are using the midpoint, so you'll see grades a little higher than last year. In an effort to reward players with more elite skills and ding prospects who have flaws in their game, we've instituted a penalty beginning with grades of C+. At C+, the numeric value was multiplied by .75, at C by .5, and any grade lower by .25. This will help to more properly value prospects that come into the draft with elite skills as well as all-around skill-sets. The changes to the gradeset attributes are in the table below:
Attr Value Min Max No Pen Pen Mult
A+ 98 96 100 98
A 90.5 86 95 90.5
A- 80.5 76 85 80.5
B+ 73 71 75 73
B 68 66 70 68
B- 63 61 65 63
C+ 42.375 53 60 56.5 0.75
C 22.75 39 52 45.5 0.5
C- 8.625 31 38 34.5 0.25
D+ 7 26 30 28 0.25
D 5.75 21 25 23 0.25
D- 4.5 16 20 18 0.25
F+ 3.25 11 15 13 0.25
F 2 6 10 8 0.25
F- 0.75 1 5 3 0.25
Finally, we also made some adjustments to the potential rating in The FormulaTM. Because of anecdotal evidence from the past two seasons that shows the commissioner does a pretty good job of aligning true potential with displayed potential, I weighted potential higher in the weighted average formula above and I also significantly changed the scale on potential to value high potential players accordingly. Here were the attribute values:
Pot Numeric Grade
A 90
B 70
C 40
D 0
F 0
So, without further ado, here are the results. I feel this edition did a much better job of adequately rating prospects. You will notice that bigs are not rated highly compared to wings and that defense is valued fairly highly. These are by design based on my personal preferences. Here you go:
BIG BOARD 1.0 BY GRADE
Pos Height Weight Age In Out Hn Df Reb Pot Grade Rank Name
SG 6'8" 185 19 B- B- B- B- C+ A 94.3 1 Luke Doncic
PG 6'2" 188 19 B B- C+ B- C A 93.3 2 Collin Sexton
SG 6'5" 213 19 C+ B- C+ B- C+ A 88.5 3 Gary Trent Jr.
SG 6'4" 206 20 C+ B- C B- C- A 85.8 4 Lonnie Walker
SF 6'10" 213 20 B- B C C+ C+ B 85.6 5 Michael Porter
C 6'10" 230 21 B- B- B- C+ C+ A 83.7 6 Billy Preston
SG 6'5" 210 20 C+ B- C- C+ C+ A 83.7 7 Kostja Mushidi
PG 6'2" 155 21 C+ B C+ B- D+ B 83.4 8 Kyle Guy
SF 6'10" 225 21 B- B- C C+ C+ B 83.1 9 TJ Leaf
SF 6'8" 195 20 B- C+ C B- C+ A 82.9 10 Kris Wilkes
SF 6'10" 200 20 C B C B- B B 82.2 11 Killian Tillie
C 7'0" 210 23 C+ B- D B- B- C 82.0 12 Anas Mahmoud
SF 6'7" 190 22 C+ B C B- C B 81.9 13 VJ King
SF 6'6" 210 21 C+ B- C+ B- C+ B 81.4 14 Jacob Evans
SG 6'3" 200 22 B- B- C C+ C B 80.9 15 Bruce Brown
SG 6'3" 210 22 C+ B- C B C B 80.1 16 Donovan Mitchell
PG 6'4" 190 20 C+ B- B- C+ D+ B 80.0 17 Andrew Jones
SF 6'6" 188 22 B- C+ C+ C+ C+ A 79.6 18 Theo Pinson
SG 6'2" 155 19 C- A B C- C- B 79.1 19 Jason McElwain
SG 6'5" 215 22 C+ B C C+ C B 78.8 20 Trevon Bluiett
SF 6'7" 200 21 C+ B- C C+ C+ B 78.4 21 Mikal Bridges
SF 6'5" 220 23 B- C+ C- B- B B 78.2 22 Bonzie Colson
C 7'0" 250 19 B C C+ B- B- A 75.9 23 Deandre Ayton
PG 6'3" 191 19 B C+ C+ B- C- B 75.3 24 Trevon Duval
SG 6'4" 215 23 C+ B- C- C+ C- B 74.8 25 LJ Peak
PG 6'4" 200 19 B- C+ C+ B- C- B 74.5 26 Paul Scruggs
SG 5'9" 175 23 B- B+ C C+ D+ C 74.3 27 Marcus Keene
PF 6'10" 215 21 B- C+ C C+ B- B 74.1 28 Zach Collins
SG 6'6" 200 21 B- C B- B- C+ A 74.0 29 PJ Dozier
SF 6'7" 210 19 C+ C+ C B- B- B 73.3 30 Troy Brown
SF 6'8" 225 23 C B C B+ B- C 72.5 31 Vince Edwards
PF 6'10" 225 21 B C D+ B- B B 72.1 32 John Collins
PG 6'4" 170 21 C+ B- C+ B- C C 71.3 33 Curtis Jones
SF 6'8" 230 22 C+ C+ C- B- C+ B 71.1 34 Justin Jackson
PG 6'4" 190 20 C+ C+ B- C+ C B 70.5 35 De-Anthony Melton
PG 6'4" 182 20 C C+ B B- D+ B 70.2 36 Jalek Felton
SF 6'8" 230 22 C+ C+ C C+ B- B 70.1 37 Kevin Hervey
PG 6'5" 195 22 C B B- C+ D+ C 68.5 38 Shake Milton
SF 6'6" 180 21 C+ B C- C+ C C 68.4 39 Tres Tinkle
PF 6'9" 230 23 B- C+ C+ C+ B C 67.8 40 Jonothan Motley
SF 6'7" 240 23 C+ B- D+ C B- C 66.9 41 Junior Etou
SG 6'5" 220 23 C+ B- C C+ C+ C 66.7 42 JaQuan Lyle
C 6'10" 330 33 C+ C+ C+ B B+ D 65.2 43 Chris Taft
C 6'10" 248 20 B D D B B B 65.2 44 Tony Bradley
SG 6'2" 170 21 C+ B- C C+ C- C 65.1 45 Eron Gordon
SF 6'6" 230 23 B- B C B C+ D 64.7 46 Kelan Martin
PG 6'1" 183 22 C C+ C+ C+ C B 64.5 47 Hassani Gravett
C 6'9" 250 23 B C- D+ C+ B A 63.7 48 Mathias Lessort
PF 6'9" 221 23 C+ C C+ C+ B- B 63.1 49 Kyle Kuzma
PF 6'7" 234 21 C+ D+ D B- B B 62.9 50 Ed Morrow
PF 6'9" 210 21 C D+ D+ B- B B 61.9 51 Chimezie Metu
PF 6'8" 255 22 B- C+ B- C+ C+ C 60.8 52 Juwan Morgan
C 6'10" 262 19 A- D+ D+ B B C 59.0 53 Wendell Carter
PF 6'9" 215 24 B- C C- B C+ C 58.6 54 Jordan Bell
C 6'11" 266 21 C+ D+ D+ C+ B B 56.8 55 Jessie Govan
C 7'0" 245 21 C+ C- D B- C+ B 56.7 56 Omer Yurtseven
C 7'1" 245 23 C+ C- D+ B- C+ B 56.6 57 Thomas Welsh
C 6'11" 261 24 C- D- D B- C+ B 52.8 58 Prince Ibeh
C 7'2" 297 23 B- C- D C+ C+ B 51.5 59 Isaac Haas
BIG BOARD 1.0 ALPHABETICAL
Pos Height Weight Age In Out Hn Df Reb Pot Grade Rank Name
C 7'0" 210 23 C+ B- D B- B- C 82.0 12 Anas Mahmoud
PG 6'4" 190 20 C+ B- B- C+ D+ B 80.0 17 Andrew Jones
C 6'10" 230 21 B- B- B- C+ C+ A 83.7 6 Billy Preston
SF 6'5" 220 23 B- C+ C- B- B B 78.2 22 Bonzie Colson
SG 6'3" 200 22 B- B- C C+ C B 80.9 15 Bruce Brown
PF 6'9" 210 21 C D+ D+ B- B B 61.9 51 Chimezie Metu
C 6'10" 330 33 C+ C+ C+ B B+ D 65.2 43 Chris Taft
PG 6'2" 188 19 B B- C+ B- C A 93.3 2 Collin Sexton
PG 6'4" 170 21 C+ B- C+ B- C C 71.3 33 Curtis Jones
C 7'0" 250 19 B C C+ B- B- A 75.9 23 Deandre Ayton
PG 6'4" 190 20 C+ C+ B- C+ C B 70.5 35 De-Anthony Melton
SG 6'3" 210 22 C+ B- C B C B 80.1 16 Donovan Mitchell
PF 6'7" 234 21 C+ D+ D B- B B 62.9 50 Ed Morrow
SG 6'2" 170 21 C+ B- C C+ C- C 65.1 45 Eron Gordon
SG 6'5" 213 19 C+ B- C+ B- C+ A 88.5 3 Gary Trent Jr.
PG 6'1" 183 22 C C+ C+ C+ C B 64.5 47 Hassani Gravett
C 7'2" 297 23 B- C- D C+ C+ B 51.5 59 Isaac Haas
SF 6'6" 210 21 C+ B- C+ B- C+ B 81.4 14 Jacob Evans
PG 6'4" 182 20 C C+ B B- D+ B 70.2 36 Jalek Felton
SG 6'5" 220 23 C+ B- C C+ C+ C 66.7 42 JaQuan Lyle
SG 6'2" 155 19 C- A B C- C- B 79.1 19 Jason McElwain
C 6'11" 266 21 C+ D+ D+ C+ B B 56.8 55 Jessie Govan
PF 6'10" 225 21 B C D+ B- B B 72.1 32 John Collins
PF 6'9" 230 23 B- C+ C+ C+ B C 67.8 40 Jonothan Motley
PF 6'9" 215 24 B- C C- B C+ C 58.6 54 Jordan Bell
SF 6'7" 240 23 C+ B- D+ C B- C 66.9 41 Junior Etou
SF 6'8" 230 22 C+ C+ C- B- C+ B 71.1 34 Justin Jackson
PF 6'8" 255 22 B- C+ B- C+ C+ C 60.8 52 Juwan Morgan
SF 6'6" 230 23 B- B C B C+ D 64.7 46 Kelan Martin
SF 6'8" 230 22 C+ C+ C C+ B- B 70.1 37 Kevin Hervey
SF 6'10" 200 20 C B C B- B B 82.2 11 Killian Tillie
SG 6'5" 210 20 C+ B- C- C+ C+ A 83.7 7 Kostja Mushidi
SF 6'8" 195 20 B- C+ C B- C+ A 82.9 10 Kris Wilkes
PG 6'2" 155 21 C+ B C+ B- D+ B 83.4 8 Kyle Guy
PF 6'9" 221 23 C+ C C+ C+ B- B 63.1 49 Kyle Kuzma
SG 6'4" 215 23 C+ B- C- C+ C- B 74.8 25 LJ Peak
SG 6'4" 206 20 C+ B- C B- C- A 85.8 4 Lonnie Walker
SG 6'8" 185 19 B- B- B- B- C+ A 94.3 1 Luke Doncic
SG 5'9" 175 23 B- B+ C C+ D+ C 74.3 27 Marcus Keene
C 6'9" 250 23 B C- D+ C+ B A 63.7 48 Mathias Lessort
SF 6'10" 213 20 B- B C C+ C+ B 85.6 5 Michael Porter
SF 6'7" 200 21 C+ B- C C+ C+ B 78.4 21 Mikal Bridges
C 7'0" 245 21 C+ C- D B- C+ B 56.7 56 Omer Yurtseven
PG 6'4" 200 19 B- C+ C+ B- C- B 74.5 26 Paul Scruggs
SG 6'6" 200 21 B- C B- B- C+ A 74.0 29 PJ Dozier
C 6'11" 261 24 C- D- D B- C+ B 52.8 58 Prince Ibeh
PG 6'5" 195 22 C B B- C+ D+ C 68.5 38 Shake Milton
SF 6'6" 188 22 B- C+ C+ C+ C+ A 79.6 18 Theo Pinson
C 7'1" 245 23 C+ C- D+ B- C+ B 56.6 57 Thomas Welsh
SF 6'10" 225 21 B- B- C C+ C+ B 83.1 9 TJ Leaf
C 6'10" 248 20 B D D B B B 65.2 44 Tony Bradley
SF 6'6" 180 21 C+ B C- C+ C C 68.4 39 Tres Tinkle
SG 6'5" 215 22 C+ B C C+ C B 78.8 20 Trevon Bluiett
PG 6'3" 191 19 B C+ C+ B- C- B 75.3 24 Trevon Duval
SF 6'7" 210 19 C+ C+ C B- B- B 73.3 30 Troy Brown
SF 6'8" 225 23 C B C B+ B- C 72.5 31 Vince Edwards
SF 6'7" 190 22 C+ B C B- C B 81.9 13 VJ King
C 6'10" 262 19 A- D+ D+ B B C 59.0 53 Wendell Carter
PF 6'10" 215 21 B- C+ C C+ B- B 74.1 28 Zach Collins