Post by MistleTacoe on Mar 7, 2017 11:20:11 GMT -6
Taco’s 3046 Free Agency Way-Too-Early-Preview
In this article, I am going to give a “way-too-early” preview one of the most important Free Agency periods we will have as 4.0 comes to a close. There are studs all over this group and they will definitely have a massive impact on the league moving forward. There are also sneaky players that will inevitably be overpaid and ruin a team moving forward. Disclaimer - 1. The contract part is my educated monetary guess. I am assuming no sweetheart resigns 2. I obviously have no clue who will try to resign after the season is over…that will have an effect on my predictions etc. Here we go:
The Stars
LeBron James
What’s Important?
The King has been playing on the Kings for the past couple years and he has already transformed the franchise. He’s averaging a blistering 26/8/5 on 48% in addition to 4.4 stocks per game. He has already made two all defensive teams and he’s not even at his TMBSL apex yet. He is a beast, is only 22, and will continue to tear up the league for years to come. I think people will predict he leaves the Kings because of his real life counter part but the lack of the hometown really helps.
Prediction: Super max - Kings
Larry Bird
What’s Important?
Larry Legend is getting up there in age but doesn’t appear to be slowing down yet. In 3044, he averaged 32/9/5 on 50% shooting with 3.4 stocks per game. He has already won 5 championships and has a great chance to get #6 with the Jazz this year. He’s got more additional enhancements than Barry Bonds due to his winning pedigree. He’s still incredibly good and, if he leaves the Jazz, will have a profound impact on whatever team he lands on.
Prediction: 6 years, 17.5mil, 0% - Jazz
Chris Bosh
What’s Important?
In my opinion, he’s the second best pick from the top 5 of the LeBron James draft class. His numbers aren’t staggering averaging 11/8 in 25mpg in his career; however he shoots efficiently at 44%, he shoots 3 pointers, and he averages 3 stocks per game. He’s kind of like a poor man’s Dirk and he still has +5 remaining.
Prediction: Super max - Whatever team takes him from Fason/76ers
Delaney Rudd
What’s Important?
Good PGs are incredibly valuable in this league if you weren’t aware. The Hornets took Rudd under their wing and he has blossomed while the Hornets have become one of the best teams in the league. He is one of the best PGs and is super efficient. In 3044, he averaged 29/10 while shooting 47% from the field. He also shot above 40% from 3pt range. I think Fecta loses him while trying to get too smart about cap space
Prediction: 6 years, max - NOT the Hornets
Butch Lee
What’s Important?
Oh cool another Warriors PG where Taco failed to see greatness even though it was under his nose. Butch Lee is best known for his insane efficiency. In 3044, he averaged 30/10 while shooting 49% from the field. He’s getting a little older (31 in 3045), which may scare some GMs away, but he is still very good.
Prediction: 4 years, 15mil, 0% - Knicks
Solid Additions
John Long
What’s Important?
John Long has been a mainstay for the average Timberwolves for the past 6 years and its time for him to come out of his cocoon. At one point in his career, he was averaging 30ppg but those days seem to be LONG gone. He’s a very good starting SG and averaged 24/8/4 last year + 2.5 stocks per game. Problems? He is 31 and you can’t win a title if he is your first or second best player.
Prediction: 5 years, 10mil, 5% - Timberwolves
Kirk Hinrich
What’s Important?
Kirk is a very good player but didn’t play starters minutes last year. Last time he started, he averaged 21/9/5, shooting 45%, and grabbing 2.5 steals. It wouldn’t surprise me if he got a couple max offers just because of the position he plays and how efficient he is. It looks like he has all of his upgrades still available as well.
Prediction: 6 years, max - NOT the Timberwolves
Reggie Theus
What’s Important?
Theus is a hell of a player and it was very hard for me to put him below the “star” level. He is consistently in the mix for all defensive team while shooting efficiently in all aspects. He is 30 years old in 3045 but in 3044 he averaged 26/8/5 in addition to 2.7 stocks per game. Anyone would be happy to have him as the starting PG of their team…but I am not sure what Fason’s move is.
Prediction: 6 years, 14 mil, 0% - 76ers
Buyer Beware
Darko Milicic
What’s Important?
This was another tough one for Taco. In 3044, Darko averaged 14/13 with 3.4bpg, which is solid. There’s no doubt that Darko is a great rebounder and great defender, but I am not sold on his shooting percentages. In addition, does Dump think he can change the tide and win titles with high volume shooter big man? I think Dump super maxes Darko but I think that is a bad contract.
Prediction: Super max - Celtics
Dwayne Wade
What’s Important?
Dwayne Wade looks like a bust at this point. Yeah he appears to be a solid player but certainly isn’t living up to the high expectations of the 3rd overall pick. He has gotten consistently less playing time each year so someone is going to be taking a good risk if they offer him a lot. I, personally, think Ayyoe is hiding him so he can try to resign him on a sweetheart deal. Inevitably, I think someone takes a risk and signs him for sizable money.
Prediction: 6 years, 8.5mil, 5% - NOT the Timberwolves
Chris Kaman
What’s Important?
Once again, Kaman was tough for me. He is basically Darko with a better shooting percentage but worse rebounding. I think someone will see his stats and fall in love and overpay for him. A big contract on him isn’t going to sink your franchise but you aren’t going to win a title if he is your 1st or 2nd best player.
Prediction: 7 years, 12.5mil, 0% - Hawks
Left Them Out on Purpose
Carmelo Anthony (not great)
Meyers Leonard (decent but shoots too much)
TJ Ford (don't think TOs will ever be solved)
Prince (too short to lead any team to a championship)
In this article, I am going to give a “way-too-early” preview one of the most important Free Agency periods we will have as 4.0 comes to a close. There are studs all over this group and they will definitely have a massive impact on the league moving forward. There are also sneaky players that will inevitably be overpaid and ruin a team moving forward. Disclaimer - 1. The contract part is my educated monetary guess. I am assuming no sweetheart resigns 2. I obviously have no clue who will try to resign after the season is over…that will have an effect on my predictions etc. Here we go:
The Stars
LeBron James
What’s Important?
The King has been playing on the Kings for the past couple years and he has already transformed the franchise. He’s averaging a blistering 26/8/5 on 48% in addition to 4.4 stocks per game. He has already made two all defensive teams and he’s not even at his TMBSL apex yet. He is a beast, is only 22, and will continue to tear up the league for years to come. I think people will predict he leaves the Kings because of his real life counter part but the lack of the hometown really helps.
Prediction: Super max - Kings
Larry Bird
What’s Important?
Larry Legend is getting up there in age but doesn’t appear to be slowing down yet. In 3044, he averaged 32/9/5 on 50% shooting with 3.4 stocks per game. He has already won 5 championships and has a great chance to get #6 with the Jazz this year. He’s got more additional enhancements than Barry Bonds due to his winning pedigree. He’s still incredibly good and, if he leaves the Jazz, will have a profound impact on whatever team he lands on.
Prediction: 6 years, 17.5mil, 0% - Jazz
Chris Bosh
What’s Important?
In my opinion, he’s the second best pick from the top 5 of the LeBron James draft class. His numbers aren’t staggering averaging 11/8 in 25mpg in his career; however he shoots efficiently at 44%, he shoots 3 pointers, and he averages 3 stocks per game. He’s kind of like a poor man’s Dirk and he still has +5 remaining.
Prediction: Super max - Whatever team takes him from Fason/76ers
Delaney Rudd
What’s Important?
Good PGs are incredibly valuable in this league if you weren’t aware. The Hornets took Rudd under their wing and he has blossomed while the Hornets have become one of the best teams in the league. He is one of the best PGs and is super efficient. In 3044, he averaged 29/10 while shooting 47% from the field. He also shot above 40% from 3pt range. I think Fecta loses him while trying to get too smart about cap space
Prediction: 6 years, max - NOT the Hornets
Butch Lee
What’s Important?
Oh cool another Warriors PG where Taco failed to see greatness even though it was under his nose. Butch Lee is best known for his insane efficiency. In 3044, he averaged 30/10 while shooting 49% from the field. He’s getting a little older (31 in 3045), which may scare some GMs away, but he is still very good.
Prediction: 4 years, 15mil, 0% - Knicks
Solid Additions
John Long
What’s Important?
John Long has been a mainstay for the average Timberwolves for the past 6 years and its time for him to come out of his cocoon. At one point in his career, he was averaging 30ppg but those days seem to be LONG gone. He’s a very good starting SG and averaged 24/8/4 last year + 2.5 stocks per game. Problems? He is 31 and you can’t win a title if he is your first or second best player.
Prediction: 5 years, 10mil, 5% - Timberwolves
Kirk Hinrich
What’s Important?
Kirk is a very good player but didn’t play starters minutes last year. Last time he started, he averaged 21/9/5, shooting 45%, and grabbing 2.5 steals. It wouldn’t surprise me if he got a couple max offers just because of the position he plays and how efficient he is. It looks like he has all of his upgrades still available as well.
Prediction: 6 years, max - NOT the Timberwolves
Reggie Theus
What’s Important?
Theus is a hell of a player and it was very hard for me to put him below the “star” level. He is consistently in the mix for all defensive team while shooting efficiently in all aspects. He is 30 years old in 3045 but in 3044 he averaged 26/8/5 in addition to 2.7 stocks per game. Anyone would be happy to have him as the starting PG of their team…but I am not sure what Fason’s move is.
Prediction: 6 years, 14 mil, 0% - 76ers
Buyer Beware
Darko Milicic
What’s Important?
This was another tough one for Taco. In 3044, Darko averaged 14/13 with 3.4bpg, which is solid. There’s no doubt that Darko is a great rebounder and great defender, but I am not sold on his shooting percentages. In addition, does Dump think he can change the tide and win titles with high volume shooter big man? I think Dump super maxes Darko but I think that is a bad contract.
Prediction: Super max - Celtics
Dwayne Wade
What’s Important?
Dwayne Wade looks like a bust at this point. Yeah he appears to be a solid player but certainly isn’t living up to the high expectations of the 3rd overall pick. He has gotten consistently less playing time each year so someone is going to be taking a good risk if they offer him a lot. I, personally, think Ayyoe is hiding him so he can try to resign him on a sweetheart deal. Inevitably, I think someone takes a risk and signs him for sizable money.
Prediction: 6 years, 8.5mil, 5% - NOT the Timberwolves
Chris Kaman
What’s Important?
Once again, Kaman was tough for me. He is basically Darko with a better shooting percentage but worse rebounding. I think someone will see his stats and fall in love and overpay for him. A big contract on him isn’t going to sink your franchise but you aren’t going to win a title if he is your 1st or 2nd best player.
Prediction: 7 years, 12.5mil, 0% - Hawks
Left Them Out on Purpose
Carmelo Anthony (not great)
Meyers Leonard (decent but shoots too much)
TJ Ford (don't think TOs will ever be solved)
Prince (too short to lead any team to a championship)