[ti]casino[/ti]How Much Does a Win (Or Loss) Cost in 3047? (456 views)

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One of the things that I've always hoped to be able to quantify in this league is what the market value of a win is in Free Agency so that I can make more wise choices about who to spend money on and set limits for myself so that I don't overpay an average player (see Cornell Green) because I'm worried what his market might be. Now that I am on #TeamSpreadsheet, I set out to do that.

First, I tried to create a metric to express how many wins a player created per million dollars he was paid. Lets call these WS/Mil (for Win Shares per Million Dollars of salary). I took Eric's win shares metrics and put them together with our salary data to create the following table:

Legend:

Sal = Player Salary divided by 1mil (for formatting purposes)

WS = Total Win Shares for 3047 Season

WS/Mil = Win Shares per Million in Salary

Sal WS WS/Mil Name
0.84 5.8 6.90 Channing Frye
0.97 5.1 5.28 Tyler Zeller
0.93 4.6 4.92 Johan Petro
1.00 4.9 4.90 LaSalle Thompson
0.33 1.6 4.81 Jerome Lane
0.33 1.5 4.51 Orlando Graham
1.00 4.5 4.50 Jackie Robinson
0.65 2.9 4.44 Kendrick Perkins
3.12 13.5 4.33 Kris Dunn
0.78 3.3 4.24 Keon Clark
3.19 12.8 4.01 Chauncey Billups
1.00 4 4.00 Brian Newell
0.33 1.3 3.91 David Rivers
2.75 10.1 3.67 Jason D. Williams
1.48 5.3 3.58 DeSagana Diop
3.26 11.6 3.56 Tim Duncan
1.00 3.5 3.50 Ousmane Cisse
2.92 9.8 3.35 Salado Valarado III
0.47 1.4 3.01 Ryan Humphrey
3.52 10.4 2.96 Ben Simmons
0.84 2.4 2.85 Raymond Felton
2.98 8.5 2.85 Amar'e Stoudemire
0.59 1.6 2.71 Harry Giles
4.50 11.8 2.62 Frank Ntilikina
2.54 6.6 2.60 Nikoloz Tskitishvili
1.00 2.6 2.60 Purvis Short
1.00 2.6 2.60 Marcus Bol
1.20 3.1 2.58 Lil Penny
4.12 10.6 2.57 Antawn Jamison
3.10 7.9 2.54 Yao Ming
2.83 7 2.47 Mitch Richmond
3.32 8.2 2.47 Tracy McGrady
2.66 6.5 2.44 Jarrett Allen
0.47 1.1 2.36 The Professor
2.22 5.2 2.35 Derek Anderson
2.41 5.6 2.33 Chris Morris
0.47 1 2.15 Roger Mason
1.60 3.4 2.13 Caleb McIlvaine
3.18 6.7 2.11 Jaylen Brown
2.64 5.4 2.04 Dajuan Wagner
0.59 1.2 2.03 Jaron Blossomgame
3.75 7.5 2.00 Jayson Tatum
2.77 5.5 1.98 Rik Smits
4.60 9.1 1.98 Chandler Chandler
2.08 4.1 1.98 Troy Bell
2.61 5.1 1.95 Dan Majerle
2.99 5.8 1.94 Dragan Bender
0.47 0.9 1.93 Reggie Evans
1.00 1.8 1.80 Steven Hunter
2.21 3.9 1.76 Devonta Davis
2.17 3.7 1.70 Marc Jackson
1.00 1.7 1.70 Charles Oakley
2.65 4.5 1.70 Diamond Stone
1.87 3.1 1.65 xX Escalade Xx
5.00 8.1 1.62 Josh Howard
4.50 7.2 1.60 Josh Hart
1.20 1.9 1.58 Hakim Warrick
5.40 8.5 1.57 Kyle Austin
3.94 6.1 1.55 Brandon Armstrong
3.13 4.8 1.54 Keith Van Horn
2.83 4.3 1.52 Mikki Moore
2.45 3.7 1.51 AJ Hammons
6.09 9.2 1.51 Rafer Alston
2.26 3.4 1.51 Cheick Diallo
5.40 8 1.48 Roger Phegley
3.45 5.1 1.48 Brandon Ingram
1.00 1.4 1.40 Mike Farmer
2.59 3.6 1.39 Mike Dunleavy
2.46 3.4 1.38 Brian Shaw
2.56 3.5 1.37 Nikola Jokic
7.84 10.5 1.34 Ben Bentil
1.20 1.6 1.33 Charlie Tyra
1.20 1.6 1.33 Otto Porter
1.20 1.6 1.33 Harrison Barnes
6.00 8 1.33 Kyle Korver
2.94 3.9 1.33 Tim Thomas
0.54 0.7 1.29 Tariq Abdul-Wahad
2.55 3.3 1.29 Ron Mercer
3.38 4.3 1.27 Thon Maker
4.50 5.7 1.27 Hal Greer
3.20 4 1.25 Joe Johnson
4.60 5.6 1.22 Kwame Brown
12.50 14.7 1.18 Lonzo Ball
8.62 10 1.16 Eddy Curry
5.40 6.2 1.15 Slava Medvedenko
6.28 7.2 1.15 Meyers Leonard
5.50 6.3 1.15 Bradley Beal
2.04 2.3 1.13 Skoal Labissiere
2.25 2.5 1.11 Udonis Haslem
4.50 5 1.11 Peyton Perkins
7.66 8.5 1.11 Paul Pierce
2.81 3.1 1.10 Phil Ford 2.0
8.00 8.8 1.10 Jesse Epstein
7.00 7.7 1.10 Terrence Jones
0.47 0.5 1.07 Rasual Butler
10.20 10.9 1.07 Mario Elie
5.40 5.7 1.06 Nigel Smith
13.75 14.1 1.03 LeBron James
4.50 4.6 1.02 Gerald Wallace
15.00 15.3 1.02 Nate Robinson
5.00 5.1 1.02 Charlie Hardnett
15.00 15 1.00 Luke Ridnour
9.00 9 1.00 Alonzo Mourning
3.60 3.6 1.00 Corey Benjamin
2.00 2 1.00 Isidoro Meyers
1.00 1 1.00 Victor Page
4.16 4.1 0.99 Kirk Hinrich
16.25 16 0.98 Jason C. Williams
8.00 7.8 0.98 Andrew Bogut
4.60 4.4 0.96 Jerome Whitehead
9.83 9.3 0.95 David West
12.50 11.7 0.94 Markelle Fultz
0.54 0.5 0.92 Charles Smith
12.50 11.3 0.90 Dillon Brooks
17.19 15.5 0.90 Tyronn Lue
0.33 0.3 0.90 Everette Stephens
0.33 0.3 0.90 Ricky Grace
1.00 0.9 0.90 Hot Rod Hundley
0.56 0.5 0.89 Curtis Borchardt
4.60 4.1 0.89 Brendan Haywood
0.47 0.4 0.86 Luis Scola
9.68 8.3 0.86 Ike Diogu
16.25 13.9 0.86 Rashard Lewis
0.59 0.5 0.85 Lauri Markkanen
19.25 16.2 0.84 Reggie Theus
0.72 0.6 0.84 Cleveland Buckner
4.60 3.8 0.83 Boris Diaw
5.00 4.1 0.82 Raef LaFrentz
1.00 0.8 0.80 Karl Malone
2.50 2 0.80 Mark Blount
2.55 2 0.79 Marquese Chriss
2.30 1.8 0.78 Dejounte Murray
13.75 10.7 0.78 Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk
19.69 15.1 0.77 Gilbert Arenas
11.00 8.4 0.76 Zarko Cabarkapa
7.48 5.7 0.76 Martell Webster
2.66 2 0.75 Rex Chapman
6.00 4.5 0.75 Amir Johnson
1.20 0.9 0.75 Steven Adams
15.75 11.8 0.75 Patrick Ewing
17.50 13.1 0.75 Marvin Williams
1.74 1.3 0.75 Steve Kerr
16.25 12.1 0.74 Vince Carter
15.00 11 0.73 John Havlicek
9.34 6.8 0.73 De'Aaron Fox
18.75 13.3 0.71 Chris Paul
8.10 5.7 0.70 Eddie Griffin
19.00 13.3 0.70 Gerald Henderson
0.72 0.5 0.70 Cornell Green
13.75 9.6 0.70 Dwyane Wade
12.50 8.6 0.69 Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
2.34 1.6 0.68 Jiri Welsch
5.00 3.4 0.68 Wayne Cooper
18.75 12.6 0.67 Damian Lillard
1.80 1.2 0.67 Juan Carlos Navarro
19.25 12.6 0.65 Larry Bird
13.75 8.9 0.65 Chris Bosh
9.00 5.8 0.64 Tyson Chandler
4.50 2.9 0.64 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
10.10 6.5 0.64 Dick McGuire
2.08 1.3 0.62 Brice Johnson
2.40 1.5 0.62 Danny Fortson
19.00 11.8 0.62 Butch Lee
5.00 3.1 0.62 Moe Harkless
4.05 2.5 0.62 Travis Outlaw
4.70 2.9 0.62 Jerry Lucas
9.50 5.8 0.61 Justin Patton
16.88 10.3 0.61 John Long
11.00 6.7 0.61 Carmelo Anthony
2.31 1.4 0.61 Rod Strickland
17.19 10.4 0.61 Dirk Nowitzki
18.75 11.3 0.60 Anthony Davis
4.50 2.7 0.60 Scott Howard
2.88 1.7 0.59 Stephen Jackson
2.72 1.6 0.59 Anthony Mason
4.50 2.6 0.58 Terry Dischenger
9.55 5.5 0.58 Andre Drummond
2.44 1.4 0.57 Carlos Boozer
5.50 3.1 0.56 Wayne Hightower
19.00 10.7 0.56 Prince Rogers Nelson
2.71 1.5 0.55 Miles Bridges
11.02 6.1 0.55 Mike Bibby
11.00 6 0.55 Tony Wroten
10.47 5.7 0.54 Chris Kaman
2.77 1.5 0.54 Scot Pollard
13.75 7.4 0.54 Darko Milicic
4.50 2.4 0.53 JaMychal Green
4.50 2.4 0.53 Luke Walton
4.60 2.4 0.52 Mickael Pietrus
6.00 3.1 0.52 Loren Woods
13.35 6.8 0.51 Larry Hughes
6.30 3.2 0.51 Ryan Gomes
14.00 7.1 0.51 Alredick Hughes
4.60 2.3 0.50 Nerlens Noel
1.20 0.6 0.50 Grayson Allen
10.00 4.8 0.48 Pau Gasol
2.71 1.3 0.48 Adonal Foyle
2.36 1.1 0.47 Willie Anderson
22.15 10.3 0.47 Delaney Rudd
13.13 6.1 0.46 Zaza Pachulia
2.00 0.9 0.45 Tyler Ulis
2.22 1 0.45 Grant Long
6.00 2.7 0.45 Draymond Green
18.00 8.1 0.45 Detlef Schrempf
17.50 7.7 0.44 Danny Granger
10.85 4.7 0.43 Khris Middleton
0.47 0.2 0.43 Melvin Ely
0.47 0.2 0.43 Casey Jacobsen
4.50 1.9 0.42 Mo Williams
15.00 6.2 0.41 Chet Walker
17.50 7.2 0.41 Monta Ellis
17.19 6.9 0.40 Michael Olowokandi
2.50 1 0.40 Malachi Richardson
2.07 0.8 0.39 Nenad Krstic
12.50 4.7 0.38 Josh Jackson
1.91 0.7 0.37 Evan Fournier
1.96 0.7 0.36 Brevin Knight
2.26 0.8 0.35 Kelvin Cato
2.27 0.8 0.35 Hersey Hawkins
8.50 3 0.35 Xavier McDaniel
8.00 2.8 0.35 Malik Monk
12.00 4.1 0.34 Shane Battier
5.90 2 0.34 Dominique Wilkins
8.00 2.7 0.34 Biff Bridges
1.20 0.4 0.33 Lonnie Baxter
8.40 2.8 0.33 Jae Crowder
12.00 3.9 0.33 AC Green
2.18 0.7 0.32 Vernon Maxwell
1.91 0.6 0.31 Frank Willliams
4.50 1.4 0.31 Jason Richardson
0.65 0.2 0.31 Marquis Daniels
19.00 5.8 0.31 Benoit Benjamin
3.95 1.2 0.30 Walt Bellamy
2.31 0.7 0.30 Bobby Jackson
8.00 2.4 0.30 OG Anunoby
5.00 1.5 0.30 Georgios Papagiannis
30.40 8.9 0.29 Jimmy Jackson
4.50 1.3 0.29 John Jenkins
6.00 1.7 0.28 Donnie Butcher
2.13 0.6 0.28 Tito Horford
9.97 2.8 0.28 Dennis Smith Jr
1.81 0.5 0.28 Vinny Del Negro
1.10 0.3 0.27 Robert Newton
6.30 1.7 0.27 CJ Miles
1.20 0.3 0.25 Clark Kellogg
1.20 0.3 0.25 Lou Williams
2.01 0.5 0.25 Will Perdue
1.64 0.4 0.24 Tom Tolbert
15.00 3.6 0.24 Sam Jones
10.00 2.4 0.24 Gerald Green
1.67 0.4 0.24 Andrew Lang
2.10 0.5 0.24 John Henson
26.25 6.1 0.23 Harold Miner
2.60 0.6 0.23 Domantas Sabonis
3.04 0.7 0.23 Caron Butler
2.20 0.5 0.23 Julius Hodge
4.50 1 0.22 Rodions Kurucs
7.78 1.7 0.22 Ndubi Ebi
0.47 0.1 0.21 Chris Jeffries
0.47 0.1 0.21 Jared Jeffries
0.47 0.1 0.21 Darius Songalia
0.47 0.1 0.21 Sam Clancy
0.47 0.1 0.21 Marcus Haislip
1.93 0.4 0.21 Gary Grant
1.00 0.2 0.20 Keith Booth
1.00 0.2 0.20 Ben Ellison
17.05 3.4 0.20 Andrew Bynum
2.51 0.5 0.20 Charles Smith
18.60 3.4 0.18 Zach Randolph
0.57 0.1 0.18 Ben Awyle
0.57 0.1 0.18 Furkan Korkmaz
4.60 0.8 0.17 Nazr Mohammed
3.24 0.5 0.15 Buddy Hield
0.72 0.1 0.14 Paul Hogue
2.86 0.4 0.14 Tayshaun Prince
4.50 0.6 0.13 Jonathan Isaac
3.05 0.4 0.13 Malik Beasley
2.35 0.3 0.13 Daniel Hamilton
0.84 0.1 0.12 Salim Stoudamire
11.00 1.3 0.12 Caleb Swanigan
1.89 0.2 0.11 Kevin Edwards
1.00 0.1 0.10 Jacque Vaughn
1.00 0.1 0.10 Woody Sauldsberry
2.03 0.2 0.10 Fred Jones
2.05 0.2 0.10 Tim Perry
11.00 1 0.09 TJ Ford
3.31 0.3 0.09 Jamal Murray
2.49 0.2 0.08 Julius Peppers
12.10 0.9 0.07 James Worthy
6.30 0.4 0.06 Spud Webb
4.50 0.2 0.04 Bonzi Wells
2.71 0.1 0.04 Jake Layman
1.20 0 -   Maxwell Horry
0.33 0 -   Dean Garrett
0.33 0 -   Troy Wyss
0.33 0 -   Keith Smart
0.57 0 -   Jakob Poeltl
0.33 0 -   Corey Gaines
0.47 0 -   Flip Murray
1.85 0 -   Fennis Dembo
3.06 0 -   Antonio Daniels
0.33 0 -   Ricky Berry
1.00 0 -   Rodney White
2.70 0 -   Fred Dilworth
0.54 0 -   Alvin Newton
9.00 0 -   Beeftank Tsakalidis
0.54 0 -   Anthony Parker
1.00 0 -   Ed Gray
3.00 0 -   William Gates
2.12 0 -   Chris Wilcox
0.33 0 -   Tom Garrick
0.33 0 -   Randolph Keys
2.16 0 -   A O
0.72 0 -   Willis Reed
1.00 0 -   Michael Redd
0.33 0 -   Shelton Jones
1.00 0 -   Guy Rodgers
0.33 0 -   John Marshall
5.00 0 -   Linas Kleiza
4.50 0 -   Dennis Schröder
12.50 0 -   Edmond Sumner
0.57 0 -   Eric Claxton
0.47 0 -   Billy Joe Bing
0.33 0 -   Ledell Eackles
0.33 0 -   John Starks
0.33 0 -   Morlon Wiley
0.33 0 -   Michael Williams
0.33 0 -   Gregory Dooley
1.00 0 -   Carey Scurry
0.33 0 -   Nate Johnston
0.47 0 -   Noah Semjonova
10.00 0 -   Tamir Goodman
2.36 0 -   Tony Battie
1.97 0 -   Derrick Chievous
0.33 0 -   Todd Mitchell
2.93 0 -   Denzel Valentine
2.09 0 -   Harvey Grant
1.50 0 -   Devonte Graham
2.17 0 -   Marcus Paige
0.33 0 -   Winston Bennett
0.59 0 -   Frank Jackson
0.33 0 -   Eric Leckner
0.47 0 -   Chris Abdul-Wahad
0.33 0 -   Barry Sumpter
0.47 0 -   Jannero Pargo
0.33 0 -   Charles Shackleford
0.47 0 -   Qyntel Woods
1.00 0 -   Isaac Hiscock
1.00 0 -   Robert Strong
0.59 0 -   Tyler Lydon
0.33 0 -   Sylvester Gray
2.39 0 -   Nenê Hilário
1.00 0 -   Paul Young-Thomas
0.33 0 -   Jeff Grayer
1.99 0 -   Jamal Sampson
0.47 0 -   John Salmons
0.47 0 -   Allen Montana
2.61 0 -   Arthur Agee
0.59 0 -   Bam Adebayo
0.33 0 -   Mark Bryant
0.33 0 -   Lucas Templeton
6.00 -0.2 (0.03) Connie Hawkins
2.29 -0.1 (0.04) Bostjon Nachbar
2.13 -0.1 (0.05) God Shammgod
1.84 -0.1 (0.05) Matt Barnes
1.78 -0.1 (0.06) Anthony Taylor
4.50 -0.3 (0.07) Dwayne Bacon
7.00 -0.5 (0.07) Tony Sidoti
1.95 -0.2 (0.10) Drew Gooden
2.89 -0.3 (0.10) Danny Manning
1.71 -0.2 (0.12) Rony Seikaly
12.50 -1.5 (0.12) Terrance Ferguson
13.00 -2.5 (0.19) Roberto Mottola
1.50 -0.3 (0.20) Mikel Huh
2.66 -0.8 (0.30) Maurice Taylor
0.57 -0.2 (0.35) Taurean Prince
2.45 -0.9 (0.37) Zeke Bellamy
0.47 -0.2 (0.43) Kareem Rush
2.82 -1.3 (0.46) Wade Baldwin
1.76 -0.9 (0.51) Scoonie Sharman
0.54 -0.3 (0.55) Brian Schader
2.20 -1.8 (0.82) Hot Sauce
1.00 -1.1 (1.10) Kris Terpening
1.93 -2.3 (1.19) Allyn Coleman
2.00 -2.5 (1.25) John Thomas
0.54 -0.8 (1.48) Joseph Benjamin
0.57 -1 (1.77) Ante Zizic
0.33 -0.7 (2.10) Vince Cronin
0.47 -1 (2.15) Juan Dixon
1.00 -2.5 (2.50) Cedric Henderson
1.00 -3.1 (3.10) Jake Shuttlesworth
0.33 -1.1 (3.31) Marques Payton
0.33 -1.4 (4.21) Jon Moore
0.65 -2.8 (4.29) Jerome Carnevale
0.33 -1.6 (4.81) Trey Decontract
0.57 -4.8 (8.48) Isaiah Whitehead
0.33 -3.6 (10.82) Greg Butler
0.59 -6.8 (11.51) Joel Berry

So, on the high end, you see players like Channing Frye, Tyler Zeller, Johan Petro, and LaSalle Thompson who are putting up decent production on minimum contracts have the highest WS/Mil values and at the bottom of the spectrum exist your high-end tank commander Point Guards well into the negatives.

Now that we know how many wins per million dollars each player creates, we can figure out what the average value for a win was in 3047. This year, the average player contract created 0.62 wins per million dollars spent. Obviously, this has some limitations due to some outlying values in the dataset, but we'll get to that later. So since the average player creates 0.62 wins per million dollars, you would expect a player on a 5 million dollar deal to create at least 3.1 win shares by the end of the year for you to be getting at least average return on investment. I created the table below to give you an idea of what return you should expect to get to be average on different contract levels below:

Note: XWS/Mil = Expected Win Shares Per Million

Contr Value XWS/Mil
Max 12.5 7.69
Supmax 18.5 11.39
MLE 4.5 2.77
LLE 1.2 0.74
Vet Min 1 0.62

So based on what you see here, the average player on a first year max contract should be a player like Terrance Jones, Danny Granger, or Jayson Tatum. For a Supermax contract, you'd expect to have an average return if you get a player like John Havlicek, Anthony Davis, or Dillon Brooks.

HOWEVER, this data is obviously skewed by the existence of our "tanking" players, or the players that go out and create negative value. Removing them from the dataset and only taking the players that created Win Share totals greater than or equal to zero, the average WS/Mil jumps to 0.87. At this rate, you'd expect a 5 million dollar deal to return you 4.35 win shares. The table below shows what you would expect the average return to be for different contract levels:

Contr Value XWS/Mil
Max 12.5 10.87
Supmax 18.5 16.09
MLE 4.5 3.91
LLE 1.2 1.04
Vet Min 1 0.87

So based on what we see here, the average player on a second (or super) max basically needs to be Reggie Theus or White Chocolate (note: pronounced CHA-coe-LAH) to give you an average return on your money. For an average return on the first year of a regular max, you want to see production on the level of Svi, Mario Elie, or Prince. For your MLE to be an average or better investment, you need to get production like Boris Diaw or Tim Thomas (lol Billy King).

So now we come to the question of what happens if we do the opposite and only look at the tanking players? How much does a loss cost? By tanking taking only the players that produced less than zero win shares, our XLS/Mil (or Expected Loss Shares per Million) is 1.87. Below is the average return for different contract levels when paying for tank commanders:

Contr Value XLS/Mil
Max 12.5 (10.87)
Supmax 18.5 (16.09)
MLE 4.5 (3.91)
LLE 1.2 (1.04)
Vet Min 1 (0.87)


So after learning all of this, I set out to figure out who in the league spends their money the most wisely. So I took each player and I found out how much excess value they create by taking their WS/Mil and subtracting the average WS/Mil for all players (0.62). That table is below:

Note: EWS/Mil = Excess Win Shares per million

Pos Age Sal WS EWS/Mil Name
C 30 0.84 5.8 6.28 Channing Frye
C 31 0.97 5.1 4.66 Tyler Zeller
C 27 0.93 4.6 4.31 Johan Petro
C 35 1.00 4.9 4.28 LaSalle Thompson
PF 22 0.33 1.6 4.19 Jerome Lane
PF 23 0.33 1.5 3.89 Orlando Graham
SF 34 1.00 4.5 3.88 Jackie Robinson
C 24 0.65 2.9 3.82 Kendrick Perkins
PG 25 3.12 13.5 3.72 Kris Dunn
C 29 0.78 3.3 3.62 Keon Clark
PG 23 3.19 12.8 3.40 Chauncey Billups
PG 35 1.00 4 3.38 Brian Newell
PG 23 0.33 1.3 3.29 David Rivers
PG 22 2.75 10.1 3.06 Jason D. Williams
C 31 1.48 5.3 2.96 DeSagana Diop
C 24 3.26 11.6 2.95 Tim Duncan
C 31 1.00 3.5 2.88 Ousmane Cisse
C 22 2.92 9.8 2.74 Salado Valarado III
C 24 0.47 1.4 2.39 Ryan Humphrey
SF 22 3.52 10.4 2.34 Ben Simmons
PG 29 0.84 2.4 2.24 Raymond Felton
C 21 2.98 8.5 2.23 Amar'e Stoudemire
PF 23 0.59 1.6 2.09 Harry Giles
PG 23 4.50 11.8 2.01 Frank Ntilikina
SF 20 2.54 6.6 1.99 Nikoloz Tskitishvili
SF 32 1.00 2.6 1.98 Purvis Short
C 33 1.00 2.6 1.98 Marcus Bol
PG 37 1.20 3.1 1.97 Lil Penny
SF 29 4.12 10.6 1.96 Antawn Jamison
C 23 3.10 7.9 1.93 Yao Ming
SG 23 2.83 7 1.86 Mitch Richmond
SF 21 3.32 8.2 1.85 Tracy McGrady
C 23 2.66 6.5 1.83 Jarrett Allen
PG 21 0.47 1.1 1.75 The Professor
SG 25 2.22 5.2 1.73 Derek Anderson
SF 22 2.41 5.6 1.71 Chris Morris
SG 23 0.47 1 1.53 Roger Mason
C 35 1.60 3.4 1.51 Caleb McIlvaine
SF 23 3.18 6.7 1.49 Jaylen Brown
PG 21 2.64 5.4 1.43 Dajuan Wagner
SF 28 0.59 1.2 1.42 Jaron Blossomgame
SF 24 3.75 7.5 1.39 Jayson Tatum
C 22 2.77 5.5 1.37 Rik Smits
C 29 4.60 9.1 1.36 Chandler Chandler
PG 28 2.08 4.1 1.36 Troy Bell
SG 23 2.61 5.1 1.34 Dan Majerle
PF 22 2.99 5.8 1.32 Dragan Bender
C 23 0.47 0.9 1.32 Reggie Evans
C 32 1.00 1.8 1.18 Steven Hunter
C 23 2.21 3.9 1.15 Devonta Davis
C 24 2.17 3.7 1.09 Marc Jackson
C 32 1.00 1.7 1.08 Charles Oakley
C 23 2.65 4.5 1.08 Diamond Stone
C 23 1.87 3.1 1.04 xX Escalade Xx
SF 28 5.00 8.1 1.00 Josh Howard
SG 26 4.50 7.2 0.98 Josh Hart
PF 31 1.20 1.9 0.97 Hakim Warrick
PG 31 5.40 8.5 0.96 Kyle Austin
SF 33 3.94 6.1 0.93 Brandon Armstrong
PF 24 3.13 4.8 0.92 Keith Van Horn
C 24 2.83 4.3 0.91 Mikki Moore
C 26 2.45 3.7 0.90 AJ Hammons
PG 29 6.09 9.2 0.90 Rafer Alston
C 23 2.26 3.4 0.89 Cheick Diallo
SF 33 5.40 8 0.87 Roger Phegley
SF 22 3.45 5.1 0.86 Brandon Ingram
SF 35 1.00 1.4 0.78 Mike Farmer
SF 23 2.59 3.6 0.78 Mike Dunleavy
SG 22 2.46 3.4 0.77 Brian Shaw
C 21 2.56 3.5 0.75 Nikola Jokic
SF 24 7.84 10.5 0.72 Ben Bentil
C 35 1.20 1.6 0.72 Charlie Tyra
SF 36 1.20 1.6 0.72 Otto Porter
SF 29 1.20 1.6 0.72 Harrison Barnes
SF 28 6.00 8 0.72 Kyle Korver
SF 22 2.94 3.9 0.71 Tim Thomas
SF 25 0.54 0.7 0.68 Tariq Abdul-Wahad
SG 23 2.55 3.3 0.68 Ron Mercer
C 22 3.38 4.3 0.66 Thon Maker
PG 35 4.50 5.7 0.65 Hal Greer
SG 32 3.20 4 0.63 Joe Johnson
C 31 4.60 5.6 0.60 Kwame Brown
PG 24 12.50 14.7 0.56 Lonzo Ball
C 31 8.62 10 0.54 Eddy Curry
C 26 5.40 6.2 0.53 Slava Medvedenko
C 29 6.28 7.2 0.53 Meyers Leonard
SG 28 5.50 6.3 0.53 Bradley Beal
C 23 2.04 2.3 0.51 Skoal Labissiere
C 23 2.25 2.5 0.50 Udonis Haslem
PG 30 4.50 5 0.50 Peyton Perkins
SF 28 7.66 8.5 0.49 Paul Pierce
PG 22 2.81 3.1 0.49 Phil Ford 2.0
PG 36 8.00 8.8 0.48 Jesse Epstein
PF 29 7.00 7.7 0.48 Terrence Jones
SF 24 0.47 0.5 0.46 Rasual Butler
SG 32 10.20 10.9 0.45 Mario Elie
C 32 5.40 5.7 0.44 Nigel Smith
SF 24 13.75 14.1 0.41 LeBron James
SF 31 4.50 4.6 0.41 Gerald Wallace
PG 29 15.00 15.3 0.40 Nate Robinson
C 30 5.00 5.1 0.40 Charlie Hardnett
PG 27 15.00 15 0.38 Luke Ridnour
PF 37 9.00 9 0.38 Alonzo Mourning
PG 28 3.60 3.6 0.38 Corey Benjamin
SF 35 2.00 2 0.38 Isidoro Meyers
SG 24 1.00 1 0.38 Victor Page
PG 28 4.16 4.1 0.37 Kirk Hinrich
PG 30 16.25 16 0.37 Jason C. Williams
C 29 8.00 7.8 0.36 Andrew Bogut
C 33 4.60 4.4 0.34 Jerome Whitehead
C 28 9.83 9.3 0.33 David West
PG 23 12.50 11.7 0.32 Markelle Fultz
SF 24 0.54 0.5 0.31 Charles Smith
SF 25 12.50 11.3 0.29 Dillon Brooks
PG 28 17.19 15.5 0.29 Tyronn Lue
PG 22 0.33 0.3 0.29 Everette Stephens
PG 20 0.33 0.3 0.29 Ricky Grace
PG 36 1.00 0.9 0.28 Hot Rod Hundley
C 23 0.56 0.5 0.28 Curtis Borchardt
C 33 4.60 4.1 0.28 Brendan Haywood
PF 23 0.47 0.4 0.24 Luis Scola
PF 30 9.68 8.3 0.24 Ike Diogu
SF 26 16.25 13.9 0.24 Rashard Lewis
C 24 0.59 0.5 0.23 Lauri Markkanen
PG 32 19.25 16.2 0.23 Reggie Theus
PF 29 0.72 0.6 0.22 Cleveland Buckner
SF 26 4.60 3.8 0.21 Boris Diaw
C 29 5.00 4.1 0.20 Raef LaFrentz
PF 32 1.00 0.8 0.18 Karl Malone
C 24 2.50 2 0.18 Mark Blount
C 22 2.55 2 0.17 Marquese Chriss
PG 23 2.30 1.8 0.17 Dejounte Murray
SG 24 13.75 10.7 0.16 Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk
PG 32 19.69 15.1 0.15 Gilbert Arenas
C 27 11.00 8.4 0.15 Zarko Cabarkapa
SF 27 7.48 5.7 0.15 Martell Webster
PG 21 2.66 2 0.14 Rex Chapman
C 27 6.00 4.5 0.13 Amir Johnson
C 36 1.20 0.9 0.13 Steven Adams
C 33 15.75 11.8 0.13 Patrick Ewing
SF 27 17.50 13.1 0.13 Marvin Williams
PG 23 1.74 1.3 0.13 Steve Kerr
SG 28 16.25 12.1 0.13 Vince Carter
SG 28 15.00 11 0.12 John Havlicek
PG 24 9.34 6.8 0.11 De'Aaron Fox
PG 28 18.75 13.3 0.09 Chris Paul
C 31 8.10 5.7 0.09 Eddie Griffin
PG 33 19.00 13.3 0.08 Gerald Henderson
PG 27 0.72 0.5 0.08 Cornell Green
SG 26 13.75 9.6 0.08 Dwyane Wade
SF 28 12.50 8.6 0.07 Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
SF 23 2.34 1.6 0.07 Jiri Welsch
PF 33 5.00 3.4 0.06 Wayne Cooper
PG 31 18.75 12.6 0.06 Damian Lillard
PG 23 1.80 1.2 0.05 Juan Carlos Navarro
SF 33 19.25 12.6 0.04 Larry Bird
C 24 13.75 8.9 0.03 Chris Bosh
C 31 9.00 5.8 0.03 Tyson Chandler
SG 36 4.50 2.9 0.03 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
PG 28 10.10 6.5 0.03 Dick McGuire
C 25 2.08 1.3 0.01 Brice Johnson
C 23 2.40 1.5 0.01 Danny Fortson
PG 33 19.00 11.8 0.01 Butch Lee
SF 28 5.00 3.1 0.00 Moe Harkless
SF 24 4.05 2.5 0.00 Travis Outlaw
C 28 4.70 2.9 0.00 Jerry Lucas
C 24 9.50 5.8 0.00 Justin Patton
SG 33 16.88 10.3 -0.01 John Long
SF 24 11.00 6.7 -0.01 Carmelo Anthony
SG 22 2.31 1.4 -0.01 Rod Strickland
PF 26 17.19 10.4 -0.01 Dirk Nowitzki
C 28 18.75 11.3 -0.01 Anthony Davis
PG 29 4.50 2.7 -0.02 Scott Howard
SF 21 2.88 1.7 -0.03 Stephen Jackson
PF 21 2.72 1.6 -0.03 Anthony Mason
SG 28 4.50 2.6 -0.04 Terry Dischenger
PF 28 9.55 5.5 -0.04 Andre Drummond
C 22 2.44 1.4 -0.04 Carlos Boozer
C 28 5.50 3.1 -0.05 Wayne Hightower
PG 30 19.00 10.7 -0.05 Prince Rogers Nelson
SF 24 2.71 1.5 -0.06 Miles Bridges
PG 27 11.02 6.1 -0.06 Mike Bibby
PG 28 11.00 6 -0.07 Tony Wroten
C 26 10.47 5.7 -0.07 Chris Kaman
C 24 2.77 1.5 -0.07 Scot Pollard
C 24 13.75 7.4 -0.08 Darko Milicic
PF 31 4.50 2.4 -0.08 JaMychal Green
PF 28 4.50 2.4 -0.08 Luke Walton
SG 26 4.60 2.4 -0.09 Mickael Pietrus
C 35 6.00 3.1 -0.10 Loren Woods
SG 27 13.35 6.8 -0.11 Larry Hughes
SF 31 6.30 3.2 -0.11 Ryan Gomes
SG 33 14.00 7.1 -0.11 Alredick Hughes
C 35 4.60 2.3 -0.12 Nerlens Noel
SG 26 1.20 0.6 -0.12 Grayson Allen
C 33 10.00 4.8 -0.14 Pau Gasol
C 24 2.71 1.3 -0.14 Adonal Foyle
SF 21 2.36 1.1 -0.15 Willie Anderson
PG 33 22.15 10.3 -0.15 Delaney Rudd
C 24 13.13 6.1 -0.15 Zaza Pachulia
PG 23 2.00 0.9 -0.17 Tyler Ulis
SF 20 2.22 1 -0.17 Grant Long
PF 31 6.00 2.7 -0.17 Draymond Green
SF 32 18.00 8.1 -0.17 Detlef Schrempf
SF 30 17.50 7.7 -0.18 Danny Granger
SF 30 10.85 4.7 -0.18 Khris Middleton
C 25 0.47 0.2 -0.19 Melvin Ely
SG 22 0.47 0.2 -0.19 Casey Jacobsen
PG 26 4.50 1.9 -0.19 Mo Williams
SF 28 15.00 6.2 -0.20 Chet Walker
PG 27 17.50 7.2 -0.20 Monta Ellis
C 29 17.19 6.9 -0.21 Michael Olowokandi
SG 23 2.50 1 -0.21 Malachi Richardson
C 20 2.07 0.8 -0.23 Nenad Krstic
SF 24 12.50 4.7 -0.24 Josh Jackson
SF 29 1.91 0.7 -0.25 Evan Fournier
PG 24 1.96 0.7 -0.26 Brevin Knight
C 25 2.26 0.8 -0.26 Kelvin Cato
SG 22 2.27 0.8 -0.26 Hersey Hawkins
PF 32 8.50 3 -0.26 Xavier McDaniel
PG 24 8.00 2.8 -0.27 Malik Monk
SF 35 12.00 4.1 -0.27 Shane Battier
SF 37 5.90 2 -0.28 Dominique Wilkins
PF 28 8.00 2.7 -0.28 Biff Bridges
C 24 1.20 0.4 -0.28 Lonnie Baxter
SF 31 8.40 2.8 -0.28 Jae Crowder
SF 32 12.00 3.9 -0.29 AC Green
SG 23 2.18 0.7 -0.29 Vernon Maxwell
PG 23 1.91 0.6 -0.30 Frank Willliams
SG 32 4.50 1.4 -0.30 Jason Richardson
SG 27 0.65 0.2 -0.31 Marquis Daniels
C 32 19.00 5.8 -0.31 Benoit Benjamin
C 28 3.95 1.2 -0.31 Walt Bellamy
PG 26 2.31 0.7 -0.31 Bobby Jackson
SF 24 8.00 2.4 -0.32 OG Anunoby
C 22 5.00 1.5 -0.32 Georgios Papagiannis
SG 37 30.40 8.9 -0.32 Jimmy Jackson
SG 30 4.50 1.3 -0.33 John Jenkins
PG 29 6.00 1.7 -0.33 Donnie Butcher
C 22 2.13 0.6 -0.33 Tito Horford
PG 24 9.97 2.8 -0.33 Dennis Smith Jr
PG 22 1.81 0.5 -0.34 Vinny Del Negro
SG 28 1.10 0.3 -0.34 Robert Newton
SF 27 6.30 1.7 -0.35 CJ Miles
SF 36 1.20 0.3 -0.37 Clark Kellogg
PG 27 1.20 0.3 -0.37 Lou Williams
C 23 2.01 0.5 -0.37 Will Perdue
SF 23 1.64 0.4 -0.37 Tom Tolbert
SG 36 15.00 3.6 -0.38 Sam Jones
SF 27 10.00 2.4 -0.38 Gerald Green
C 22 1.67 0.4 -0.38 Andrew Lang
C 31 2.10 0.5 -0.38 John Henson
SG 36 26.25 6.1 -0.38 Harold Miner
C 23 2.60 0.6 -0.38 Domantas Sabonis
SF 23 3.04 0.7 -0.39 Caron Butler
SG 30 2.20 0.5 -0.39 Julius Hodge
SF 23 4.50 1 -0.39 Rodions Kurucs
SF 24 7.78 1.7 -0.40 Ndubi Ebi
SF 23 0.47 0.1 -0.40 Chris Jeffries
SF 22 0.47 0.1 -0.40 Jared Jeffries
C 25 0.47 0.1 -0.40 Darius Songalia
PF 23 0.47 0.1 -0.40 Sam Clancy
SF 23 0.47 0.1 -0.40 Marcus Haislip
PG 23 1.93 0.4 -0.41 Gary Grant
SF 25 1.00 0.2 -0.42 Keith Booth
SF 30 1.00 0.2 -0.42 Ben Ellison
C 27 17.05 3.4 -0.42 Andrew Bynum
SF 23 2.51 0.5 -0.42 Charles Smith
C 32 18.60 3.4 -0.43 Zach Randolph
SG 25 0.57 0.1 -0.44 Ben Awyle
SG 23 0.57 0.1 -0.44 Furkan Korkmaz
C 28 4.60 0.8 -0.44 Nazr Mohammed
SF 25 3.24 0.5 -0.46 Buddy Hield
C 28 0.72 0.1 -0.48 Paul Hogue
SF 23 2.86 0.4 -0.48 Tayshaun Prince
SF 24 4.50 0.6 -0.48 Jonathan Isaac
SG 23 3.05 0.4 -0.48 Malik Beasley
SG 23 2.35 0.3 -0.49 Daniel Hamilton
PG 31 0.84 0.1 -0.50 Salim Stoudamire
C 24 11.00 1.3 -0.50 Caleb Swanigan
PG 23 1.89 0.2 -0.51 Kevin Edwards
PG 24 1.00 0.1 -0.52 Jacque Vaughn
C 35 1.00 0.1 -0.52 Woody Sauldsberry
SG 24 2.03 0.2 -0.52 Fred Jones
PF 23 2.05 0.2 -0.52 Tim Perry
PG 26 11.00 1 -0.52 TJ Ford
SG 23 3.31 0.3 -0.52 Jamal Murray
PF 23 2.49 0.2 -0.54 Julius Peppers
SF 35 12.10 0.9 -0.54 James Worthy
PG 32 6.30 0.4 -0.55 Spud Webb
SF 29 4.50 0.2 -0.57 Bonzi Wells
SF 25 2.71 0.1 -0.58 Jake Layman
PG 35 1.20 0 -0.62 Maxwell Horry
C 22 0.33 0 -0.62 Dean Garrett
SF 22 0.33 0 -0.62 Troy Wyss
PG 24 0.33 0 -0.62 Keith Smart
C 24 0.57 0 -0.62 Jakob Poeltl
SG 23 0.33 0 -0.62 Corey Gaines
SG 24 0.47 0 -0.62 Flip Murray
SF 22 1.85 0 -0.62 Fennis Dembo
PG 24 3.06 0 -0.62 Antonio Daniels
SG 24 0.33 0 -0.62 Ricky Berry
SF 33 1.00 0 -0.62 Rodney White
SG 22 2.70 0 -0.62 Fred Dilworth
PF 22 0.54 0 -0.62 Alvin Newton
PG 28 9.00 0 -0.62 Beeftank Tsakalidis
SG 24 0.54 0 -0.62 Anthony Parker
SG 24 1.00 0 -0.62 Ed Gray
PG 23 3.00 0 -0.62 William Gates
C 21 2.12 0 -0.62 Chris Wilcox
PG 22 0.33 0 -0.62 Tom Garrick
SF 22 0.33 0 -0.62 Randolph Keys
PG 24 2.16 0 -0.62 A O
C 27 0.72 0 -0.62 Willis Reed
SG 22 1.00 0 -0.62 Michael Redd
SF 22 0.33 0 -0.62 Shelton Jones
PG 36 1.00 0 -0.62 Guy Rodgers
PG 22 0.33 0 -0.62 John Marshall
SF 28 5.00 0 -0.62 Linas Kleiza
PG 35 4.50 0 -0.62 Dennis Schröder
PG 25 12.50 0 -0.62 Edmond Sumner
C 25 0.57 0 -0.62 Eric Claxton
PF 23 0.47 0 -0.62 Billy Joe Bing
SG 22 0.33 0 -0.62 Ledell Eackles
PG 23 0.33 0 -0.62 John Starks
PG 22 0.33 0 -0.62 Morlon Wiley
PG 22 0.33 0 -0.62 Michael Williams
PF 22 0.33 0 -0.62 Gregory Dooley
SF 33 1.00 0 -0.62 Carey Scurry
SF 22 0.33 0 -0.62 Nate Johnston
SG 22 0.47 0 -0.62 Noah Semjonova
PG 26 10.00 0 -0.62 Tamir Goodman
C 23 2.36 0 -0.62 Tony Battie
SF 21 1.97 0 -0.62 Derrick Chievous
SF 22 0.33 0 -0.62 Todd Mitchell
SG 25 2.93 0 -0.62 Denzel Valentine
SF 23 2.09 0 -0.62 Harvey Grant
PG 26 1.50 0 -0.62 Devonte Graham
PG 25 2.17 0 -0.62 Marcus Paige
SF 23 0.33 0 -0.62 Winston Bennett
PG 23 0.59 0 -0.62 Frank Jackson
C 22 0.33 0 -0.62 Eric Leckner
PG 23 0.47 0 -0.62 Chris Abdul-Wahad
PF 23 0.33 0 -0.62 Barry Sumpter
PG 24 0.47 0 -0.62 Jannero Pargo
C 22 0.33 0 -0.62 Charles Shackleford
SF 22 0.47 0 -0.62 Qyntel Woods
SG 24 1.00 0 -0.62 Isaac Hiscock
C 35 1.00 0 -0.62 Robert Strong
SF 25 0.59 0 -0.62 Tyler Lydon
SF 21 0.33 0 -0.62 Sylvester Gray
C 21 2.39 0 -0.62 Nenê Hilário
C 33 1.00 0 -0.62 Paul Young-Thomas
SG 23 0.33 0 -0.62 Jeff Grayer
C 20 1.99 0 -0.62 Jamal Sampson
SG 24 0.47 0 -0.62 John Salmons
PG 22 0.47 0 -0.62 Allen Montana
PG 22 2.61 0 -0.62 Arthur Agee
C 24 0.59 0 -0.62 Bam Adebayo
C 23 0.33 0 -0.62 Mark Bryant
SF 18 0.33 0 -0.62 Lucas Templeton
SF 26 6.00 -0.2 -0.65 Connie Hawkins
SF 23 2.29 -0.1 -0.66 Bostjon Nachbar
PG 23 2.13 -0.1 -0.66 God Shammgod
SF 23 1.84 -0.1 -0.67 Matt Barnes
PG 23 1.78 -0.1 -0.67 Anthony Taylor
SF 26 4.50 -0.3 -0.68 Dwayne Bacon
PG 28 7.00 -0.5 -0.69 Tony Sidoti
PF 22 1.95 -0.2 -0.72 Drew Gooden
SF 23 2.89 -0.3 -0.72 Danny Manning
C 23 1.71 -0.2 -0.73 Rony Seikaly
SG 23 12.50 -1.5 -0.74 Terrance Ferguson
PG 35 13.00 -2.5 -0.81 Roberto Mottola
SF 24 1.50 -0.3 -0.82 Mikel Huh
C 23 2.66 -0.8 -0.92 Maurice Taylor
SF 25 0.57 -0.2 -0.97 Taurean Prince
SG 25 2.45 -0.9 -0.98 Zeke Bellamy
SG 23 0.47 -0.2 -1.04 Kareem Rush
PG 23 2.82 -1.3 -1.08 Wade Baldwin
SG 21 1.76 -0.9 -1.13 Scoonie Sharman
C 23 0.54 -0.3 -1.17 Brian Schader
PG 22 2.20 -1.8 -1.43 Hot Sauce
PG 33 1.00 -1.1 -1.72 Kris Terpening
PF 22 1.93 -2.3 -1.81 Allyn Coleman
C 24 2.00 -2.5 -1.86 John Thomas
PG 24 0.54 -0.8 -2.09 Joseph Benjamin
C 22 0.57 -1 -2.38 Ante Zizic
SF 22 0.33 -0.7 -2.72 Vince Cronin
SG 25 0.47 -1 -2.76 Juan Dixon
SF 24 1.00 -2.5 -3.12 Cedric Henderson
SG 32 1.00 -3.1 -3.72 Jake Shuttlesworth
SG 22 0.33 -1.1 -3.92 Marques Payton
C 20 0.33 -1.4 -4.82 Jon Moore
PG 28 0.65 -2.8 -4.90 Jerome Carnevale
SF 21 0.33 -1.6 -5.42 Trey Decontract
PG 24 0.57 -4.8 -9.10 Isaiah Whitehead
C 22 0.33 -3.6 -11.43 Greg Butler
PG 26 0.59 -6.8 -12.12 Joel Berry


I then created a pivot table so that I could see the sum of the excess value created by each team. Those results are below:

Team EX-WS/Mil
Supersonics 8.88
Braves 8.67
Spurs 8.37
Bullets 8.11
Knicks 7.56
Pacers 7.30
Lakers 7.03
Kings 6.87
Hawks 5.65
Mavericks 4.43
Cavaliers 4.41
Timberwolves 4.33
Celtics 4.32
Raptors 3.88
Jazz 3.72
Trailblazers 2.28
Rockets 2.04
Heat 1.55
Pistons 0.77
Bucks 0.67
Bulls -0.59
Warriors -1.49
Grizzlies -2.23
Hornets -6.88
Magic -7.99
Bobcats -10.63
Pelicans -10.73
Clippers -19.36
Suns -40.96

Unsurprisingly, the top of the list is full of playoff teams and the bottom of the list is full of tankers. Fason, Delap, TimPig, KN, and Eric get the honors for being the five most efficient spending GM's, and Ank runs away with the title of biggest scanker by paying over twice as much per loss as any other GM in the league.

Finally, to wrap up things up nicely, I present to you my All-Value Team (some creative lee-way taken with positions)

C Johan Petro (4.92 WS/Mil)

PF Channing Frye (6.9 WS/Mil)

SF Jackie Robinson (4.5 WS/Mil)

SG Chauncey Billups (4.01 WS/Mil)

PG Kris Dunn (4.33 WS/Mil)

[Deleted]

Rookie deals definitely skew the formula as well

[Face-in]

eric you've created a monster.

[SugarShaun]

The Cavs numbers are lowered by trading and breaking down the team. Believe I'd be #1 if I kept team I started the season with at 8.94

[[Account Deleted]]

May 13, 2017 10:25:46 GMT -6 @dumptime said:

Rookie deals definitely skew the formula as well

Agreed but I decided to keep them in the dataset to highlight the team-building value of having effective rookie contract players on your team. It's one of the tools you can use to win.

I might drill down further next season to take rookie deals out so you can see what what the real value is for veteran FAs by position. But this was enough for the first go around.

[Heebs]

I like this. Need some time to digest. It it seems helpful.

How do we account for the premium paid within the salary cap for marginal excellence.

[[Account Deleted]]

May 13, 2017 11:40:57 GMT -6 Heebs said:

I like this. Need some time to digest. It it seems helpful.

How do we account for the premium paid within the salary cap for marginal excellence.

What do you mean? Where a player can't be paid his market value based on cap restrictions?

[eric]

love it

there are 14 guys making over $18.5m, seven producing positive excess win shares and seven negative
there are 34 guys making between $12.5m - $18.5m with the same 50/50 split, exactly seventeen and seventeen
i would have guessed the supermaxes were a lot worse

with that said, six(!!!) of the seven plus supermaxes are point guards and five of the negatives are not
the first max level is a little more evenly distributed but six of the top seven pluses are point guards too

quick note, if you swap the columns in the last table it'll look a little neater. you always want the long text column the farthest right

not sure how to remove the rookie scale guys from the equation. you could rule out anyone with 2 or less years of experience, then guys with exactly 3 you could check against the possible first round salaries. some guys would fall through the gaps but that's life

5

[Heebs]

May 13, 2017 11:42:39 GMT -6 [Account Deleted] said:

May 13, 2017 11:40:57 GMT -6 Heebs said:

I like this. Need some time to digest. It it seems helpful.

How do we account for the premium paid within the salary cap for marginal excellence.

What do you mean? Where a player can't be paid his market value based on cap restrictions?

It is better to pay a max to a wing star and be frugal with your bigs than to spread your cap evenly. So we're always going to have bigs dominating this list.

[[Account Deleted]]

Well I think that's been because of the perception of value difference between wings and bigs. I'm wondering if having this data will affect spending decisions in FA

[Souper Troopers]

Eric came

[20s Navidad]

Another issue is that this analysis assumes the relationship is linear.

In a competitive market, there is a premium to be paid to go from good to great. That said, I imagine most max level players might not generate the same WS/mil as players on lower salaries, but that is because due to the scarcity of elite players, GMs should be and are willing to pay what it takes to acquire the players who can take you from 52 wins to 60 wins.

Basically, what I am saying is a guy can be earning "below average" wins/mil and be on an okay contract.

Wins should (and do, IMO) get more expensive from 10-15 win shares than they are from 0-5 win shares for a player.

[Delap]

big fan of any list that ranks me among the best.

[Delap]

would be interesting to see how I look if you took JJ off the team. That's almost half of my salary right there.

[[Account Deleted]]

May 13, 2017 14:49:28 GMT -6 20s Navidad said:

Another issue is that this analysis assumes the relationship is linear.

In a competitive market, there is a premium to be paid to go from good to great. That said, I imagine most max level players might not generate the same WS/mil as players on lower salaries, but that is because due to the scarcity of elite players, GMs should be and are willing to pay what it takes to acquire the players who can take you from 52 wins to 60 wins.

Basically, what I am saying is a guy can be earning "below average" wins/mil and be on an okay contract.

Wins should (and do, IMO) get more expensive from 10-15 win shares than they are from 0-5 win shares for a player.

You're absolutely right.

[[Account Deleted]]

May 13, 2017 14:49:28 GMT -6 20s Navidad said:

Another issue is that this analysis assumes the relationship is linear.

In a competitive market, there is a premium to be paid to go from good to great. That said, I imagine most max level players might not generate the same WS/mil as players on lower salaries, but that is because due to the scarcity of elite players, GMs should be and are willing to pay what it takes to acquire the players who can take you from 52 wins to 60 wins.

Basically, what I am saying is a guy can be earning "below average" wins/mil and be on an okay contract.

Wins should (and do, IMO) get more expensive from 10-15 win shares than they are from 0-5 win shares for a player.

So I looked at this yesterday taking all players and then the dataset without the tankers and linear trendlines had the highest r^2 values in both datasets around .45 to .5

Gonna find a way to take out rookie contracts today and look at it and see if this theory holds true for players who have hit FA.

[ANK1990]

The Win Shares per million stats are wrong right? Look like raw win shares, not per $ million.

[[Account Deleted]]

May 14, 2017 14:59:56 GMT -6 ANK1990 said:

The Win Shares per million stats are wrong right? Look like raw win shares, not per $ million.

What?

[Delap]

ank wants you to give it to him raw

[Souper Troopers]

Ank is a cocksucker.