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Post by Souper Troopers on Jun 13, 2017 9:36:08 GMT -6
Also think 20s could have been trying to set up credibilty by voting mafia first round. It just happened to backfire and get spl out.
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Post by [Account Deleted] on Jun 13, 2017 9:36:25 GMT -6
I guess it would be a 85.7% chance to win and only a loss if TimPig or Fecta is mafia. So if we lose if 2 of the 6 are mafia, that is a 33.3% chance of losing. What if we changed the order of the list where you and delap are at the bottom since I think you two are least likely to be mafia? |
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Post by Lazy Pete on Jun 13, 2017 9:36:31 GMT -6
I agree, I don't think it's proof of anything
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Post by 20s Navidad on Jun 13, 2017 9:38:29 GMT -6
I think my play and posts in this round speak for themselves. Feel free to review as you wish.
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Post by Lazy Pete on Jun 13, 2017 9:38:59 GMT -6
Is there anyone we can eliminate this round whose death might provide us more information?
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Post by [Account Deleted] on Jun 13, 2017 9:40:22 GMT -6
Not that I can tell.
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Post by Souper Troopers on Jun 13, 2017 9:40:52 GMT -6
I think my play and posts in this round speak for themselves. Feel free to review as you wish. We've played they exact game except I switched my vote to bk when everyone else was and didn't get a chance to sign on after heebs reveal and the end of the round. And that makes you innocent but me suspicious? 10-4. |
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Post by FectaDEEZ on Jun 13, 2017 9:42:05 GMT -6
So if we lose if 2 of the 6 are mafia, that is a 33.3% chance of losing. What if we changed the order of the list where you and delap are at the bottom since I think you two are least likely to be mafia? Why do we think Delap is not mafia? |
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Post by [Account Deleted] on Jun 13, 2017 9:46:20 GMT -6
Because SPL named him as he was going down in round 1 and the other two guys he named as accomplices were confirmed as civs.
Which really makes me wonder why the dumbass mafia killed Taco on night one because it killed someone who if left could have garnered votes during execution.
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Post by Souper Troopers on Jun 13, 2017 9:48:02 GMT -6
I think the best route is to vote someone whom hasn't given us much info.
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Post by [Account Deleted] on Jun 13, 2017 9:49:47 GMT -6
I can also agree with that. Who would that be?
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Post by 20s Navidad on Jun 13, 2017 9:55:17 GMT -6
More interesting voting patterns:
Day 1:
Billy and SPL jump out to the early lead (both confirmed mafia now)
The next two votes that come in are BK and soup both voting for SPL <-- possible attempt to establish voting record vs mafia when they realized one of the mafia was going to be voted out
Day 2:
Soup initially votes for herb
Once herb pulls the fake cop card, soup switches to Billy <--- possibly now realizes Billy won't win vote and wants to get another vote for mafia on his record, they know Billy will die that night as they need to use him to take out the bodyguard. Billy had drawn more suspicion than soup so they were choosing him to make the hit
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Post by Souper Troopers on Jun 13, 2017 9:58:33 GMT -6
Right now I'm pretty solid on soup. He voted for mafia both rounds but he voted for spl right after he admitted to it and BK right after Heebs made his declaration that he was the fake cop and didn't change votes after Pete refuted that. His voting pattern seems to suggest he wants to build credibility but he's been laying low compared to his previous games. I was dead by now in previous games lol. What the hell are you talking about? |
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Post by Souper Troopers on Jun 13, 2017 10:00:04 GMT -6
I was the only one leading the charge to get spl out after he confirmed he was mafia. Several people dismissed it including 20s, Pete, heebs.
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Post by Delap on Jun 13, 2017 10:01:17 GMT -6
I'm not mafia.
I lean toward GBG right now, though soup could be as well.
GBG
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Post by Souper Troopers on Jun 13, 2017 10:02:00 GMT -6
And you're right on heebs. I was the only one to switch my vote to him right?
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Post by Souper Troopers on Jun 13, 2017 10:02:57 GMT -6
If I'm leading a vote I'm going to admin kill myself to give you idiots another chance to get it right before the mafia gets a hit.
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Post by FectaDEEZ on Jun 13, 2017 10:05:19 GMT -6
GBG is my vote for now as well.
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Post by 20s Navidad on Jun 13, 2017 10:06:30 GMT -6
I was the only one leading the charge to get spl out after he confirmed he was mafia. Several people dismissed it including 20s, Pete, heebs. I wouldn't say I dismissed it. I kept my vote for him. I would say we treated it with uncertainty because we had no idea why he would do that. In hindsight, the top two vote getters were both mafia members so it seems than a decision was made to sacrifice one to throw the scent off the other's trail and to establish voting cred for the next two voters once the tie was broken (Billy and soup). You leading the charge could be explained by you knowing with certainty he was actually mafia. |
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Post by Souper Troopers on Jun 13, 2017 10:08:27 GMT -6
We will see. When I die this vote or admin kill I advise you all to vote for 20s
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Post by 20s Navidad on Jun 13, 2017 10:09:54 GMT -6
I am fine with a vote for gbg as he is one of the 3 left I believe could be the final mafia member, but I don't think his death gives us any additional info and it would be pretty cool to take out all 3 mafia members in the first 3 days. And my current lean is soup.
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Post by TimPig on Jun 13, 2017 10:10:39 GMT -6
We will see. When I die this vote or admin kill I advise you all to vote for 20sStill a n00b here, but doesn't admin killing yourself as soon as people start voting for you kind of defeat the purpose of the game? |
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Post by Souper Troopers on Jun 13, 2017 10:11:57 GMT -6
We will see. When I die this vote or admin kill I advise you all to vote for 20sStill a n00b here, but doesn't admin killing yourself as soon as people start voting for you kind of defeat the purpose of the game? It's strategic. Would give the town another shot at a mafia before mafia gets a hit. |
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Post by Lazy Pete on Jun 13, 2017 10:12:39 GMT -6
yeah I don't think admin killing should be treated as an in-game tactic
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Post by 20s Navidad on Jun 13, 2017 10:12:58 GMT -6
2 soup - JHB, 20s
2 GBG - delap, fecta
1 delap - GBG
1 20s - soup
Yet to vote: TimPig, pete, canes
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Post by Souper Troopers on Jun 13, 2017 10:13:50 GMT -6
gbg
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Post by 20s Navidad on Jun 13, 2017 10:15:34 GMT -6
3 GBG - delap, fecta, soup
2 soup - JHB, 20s
1 delap - GBG
Yet to vote: TimPig, pete, canes
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Post by TimPig on Jun 13, 2017 10:16:51 GMT -6
Torn between Soup and GBG right now.
Also, just want to point out that SPL initially voted for me so that he could protect Fecta's ability to post pad. Seems like a somewhat shitty excuse to protect someone.
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Post by 20s Navidad on Jun 13, 2017 10:17:23 GMT -6
yeah I don't think admin killing should be treated as an in-game tactic To solve this, an admin kill if someone who is leading the current vote could just be treated as the end of the day and we move into the night phase. |
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Post by Lazy Pete on Jun 13, 2017 10:17:31 GMT -6
the odds of us killing a civilian this round are high, since we don't really have much more data to go on. But my gut told me Soup earlier and so I'm going to ride w/ known civilian JHB and pick him here.
If it isn't Soup, i think 20s or Delap are good suspects. or TimPig. Frankly I don't know and I wish I had been able to reveal one more civ before dying.
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