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Post by eric on Jan 13, 2016 13:36:52 GMT -6
The software can play games at home, away, or (in exhibition mode) neutral. I made two identical teams and simmed 80 seasons' worth of games between them under each of the three modes, and here are the differences of home team minus away team:
REB 7873 8608 139 AST 3596 4403 -1957 STL 742 1315 91 BLK 1826 875 203 PF -21104 -22780 -12387 TOV -1906 -3321 -69 PTS 24880 29532 5406 FG% 0.01 0.01 0.00 3P% 0.02 0.02 0.00 FT% 0.01 0.01 0.00 PT/TS 0.03 0.04 0.01 POSS 4761 4832 1529 FGr -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 3Pr 0.00 0.00 0.00 FTr 0.02 0.03 0.03 TOr 0.00 -0.01 0.00 AS/TO 0.06 0.08 -0.03 PTS/g 3.75 4.46 1.43 Home court advantage factors into almost everything. -Rebounds and probably offensive rebounds (hence the extra possessions). -Probably assists and passing efficiency in general. -Defense as far as steals and blocks go. -Shooting efficiency from all areas: ones, twos, and threes.
The one surprise to me was personal fouls, where there was still a huge disparity between one team and the other, and consequently one team had a sharp advantage in free throw rate. The foul gap wasn't as big as the home/away fixtures, and it is often claimed as an area that home teams get benefits so it would make sense to code it in.
The grand total is about 4 points per game, which is a little higher than but close to the real life gap.
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Post by MistleTacoe on Jan 13, 2016 16:56:21 GMT -6
I was actually wondering about this recently....good work
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